Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 21:58 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: Kevin Hassett
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Kevin Hassett | 10% | ▲ 1.6 pts |
Michelle Bowman | 9% | — |
Stephen Miran | 8% | ▲ 3.1 pts |
Philip Jefferson | 6% | — |
James Bullard | 6% | — |
Judy Shelton | 3% | — |
Rick Rieder | 2% | — |
Christopher Waller | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If Kevin Hassett is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Kevin Hassett as the most likely outcome at 10% (as of 22 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.