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Kalshi

Jesús Made: Debut Date

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 03:20 UTCCloses 1 May 2028 (in 19 mo)

Most likely: Before May 1, 2028

94%
Price over the last 7 days, in %
86%83%81%

All outcomes (7)

OutcomeChance24h
Before May 1, 2028
94%—
Before Nov 1, 2028
86%—
Before Aug 1, 2028
81%—
Before Nov 1, 2027
80%—
Before Aug 1, 2027
61%—
Before May 1, 2027
29%—
Before Nov 1, 2026
1%▼ 12.0 pts

How this market resolves

If Jesús Made plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before May 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Jesús Made: Debut Date”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price Before May 1, 2028 as the most likely outcome at 94% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 May 2028. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.