Kalshi

Altria Group cigarette shipments in Q3

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 11:41 UTCCloses 25 Feb 2027 (in 4 mo)

Most likely: Above 14 billion

96%

Price over the last 7 days, in %

All outcomes (8)

Outcome	Chance	24h
Above 14 billion	96%	—
Above 14.25 billion	96%	—
Above 15 billion	89%	▲ 9.0 pts
Above 14.75 billion	88%	—
Above 15.5 billion	87%	—
Above 15.25 billion	80%	—
Above 14.5 billion	73%	—
Above 15.75 billion	33%	▲ 10.0 pts

How this market resolves

If Altria Group Inc. reports Above 14000000000.0 cigarette shipments in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Altria Group cigarette shipments in Q3”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 14 billion as the most likely outcome at 96% (as of 28 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 25 Feb 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.