How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 00:08 UTCCloses 27 Oct 2026 (in 4 days)
Most likely: At least 6 million
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
At least 6 million | 98% | — |
At least 9 million | 95% | ▼ 4.0 pts |
At least 12 million | 21% | ▼ 45.0 pts |
At least 15 million | 11% | ▼ 37.0 pts |
At least 18 million | 2% | ▼ 8.0 pts |
At least 21 million | 2% | — |
At least 25 million | 1% | — |
At least 30 million | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least 6 million views on the chart published on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price At least 6 million as the most likely outcome at 98% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 27 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.