OpenAI market share this week
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 04:59 UTCCloses 16 Nov 2026 (in 5 days)
Most likely: Above 19.6%
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 19.6% | 88% | — |
Above 17.4% | 86% | ▼ 4.0 pts |
Above 18.2% | 69% | ▼ 9.0 pts |
Above 18.6% | 51% | — |
Above 18.9% | 42% | — |
Above 19.4% | 33% | — |
Above 19.1% | 31% | — |
Above 20.0% | 26% | — |
How this market resolves
If OpenAI scores above 19.6% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “OpenAI market share this week”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 19.6% as the most likely outcome at 88% (as of 11 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 16 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More tech & ai markets
Latest tech & ai news
- eBay appears to have shut the door on third-party AI agents10 Nov 2026· The Verge · AI
- Google releases Gemini 4 Carbon with agent ‘swarm’ feature10 Nov 2026· The Verge · AI
- Anthropic targets $1.4 trillion IPO10 Nov 2026· The Verge · AI
- Photoshop, Lightroom, and Premiere are making it easier to remove things10 Nov 2026· The Verge · AI
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.