How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 05:00 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 51 days)
Most likely: Above 60
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 60 | 79% | — |
Above 56 | 73% | — |
Above 68 | 70% | — |
Above 64 | 69% | — |
Above 72 | 49% | — |
Above 76 | 31% | — |
Above 80 | 16% | — |
Above 84 | 7% | — |
How this market resolves
If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 60, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 60 as the most likely outcome at 79% (as of 11 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.