When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 05:00 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2028 (in 14 mo)
Most likely: Before 2028
All outcomes (5)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Before 2028 | 57% | — |
Before March 2027 | 12% | — |
Before February 2027 | 7% | — |
Before 2027 | 3% | — |
Before December 2026 | 1% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If Rocket Lab Corporation launches Neutron After issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Before 2028 as the most likely outcome at 57% (as of 11 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2028. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.