When will Sierra-at-Tahoe open for the 26/27 winter season?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 03:21 UTCCloses 16 Jan 2027 (in 3 mo)
Most likely: Before Jan 10, 2027
All outcomes (5)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Before Jan 10, 2027 | 91% | — |
Before Jan 3, 2027 | 89% | — |
Before Dec 27, 2026 | 53% | ▼ 17.0 pts |
Before Dec 20, 2026 | 23% | ▼ 75.0 pts |
Before Dec 13, 2026 | 11% | — |
How this market resolves
If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Sierra-at-Tahoe conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Jan 10, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “When will Sierra-at-Tahoe open for the 26/27 winter season”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Before Jan 10, 2027 as the most likely outcome at 91% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 16 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.