Spanish general election: voter turnout
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 00:07 UTCCloses 29 Nov 2026 (in 37 days)
Most likely: At least 22,000,000
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
At least 22,000,000 | 97% | — |
At least 22,500,000 | 97% | — |
At least 23,000,000 | 96% | — |
At least 23,500,000 | 96% | — |
At least 24,000,000 | 96% | — |
At least 24,500,000 | 93% | — |
At least 25,000,000 | 87% | — |
At least 25,500,000 | 77% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If at least 22,000,000 valid and null ballots are cast in the November 29, 2026 Spanish general election for the Congress of Deputies, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Spanish general election: voter turnout”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price At least 22,000,000 as the most likely outcome at 97% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 29 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Latest elections news
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.