Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 21:58 UTCCloses 1 Apr 2027 (in 5 mo)
Most likely: Before Apr 1, 2027
All outcomes (3)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Before Apr 1, 2027 | 54% | — |
Before Jan 1, 2027 | 42% | — |
Before Dec 1, 2026 | 26% | — |
How this market resolves
If any federal or state court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public in a case concerning paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Before Apr 1, 2027 as the most likely outcome at 54% (as of 22 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Apr 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.