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Polymarket

"Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 09:11 UTCCloses 15 Nov 2026 (in 3 days)

Most likely: 19m-22m

46%▲ 4.5 pts in 24h
Price over the last 7 days, in %
54%35%16%

All outcomes (6)

OutcomeChance24h
19m-22m
46%▲ 4.5 pts
22m-25m
24%▲ 8.5 pts
16m-19m
14%▼ 15.0 pts
25m-28m
11%▼ 2.5 pts
28m+
10%▲ 0.5 pts
<16m
4%▼ 4.9 pts

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to how much "Ebenezer" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15). This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "Weekend" figure for the movie's first weekend on the "Domestic Weekend" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page. If neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “"Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price 19m-22m as the most likely outcome at 46% (as of 12 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 15 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.