MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 03:20 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: $10M
All outcomes (7)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
$10M | 23% | ▼ 9.2 pts |
$20M | 20% | ▼ 7.0 pts |
$60M | 16% | ▼ 7.5 pts |
$40M | 14% | ▼ 8.0 pts |
$100M | 13% | ▼ 4.0 pts |
$200M | 9% | — |
$300M | 8% | — |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price $10M as the most likely outcome at 23% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More crypto markets
- KalshiBTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?>99%$70,000 or above
- PolymarketWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?53%↑ 90,000
- KalshiWill BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?9%Yes
- KalshiBitcoin price at the end of 202614%80,000 to 84,999.99
- KalshiBNB price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?99%$615 or above
- KalshiETH price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?>99%$1,490 or above
Latest crypto news
Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.