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Polymarket

Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 00:08 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)

Most likely: $80M

10%▲ 2.5 pts in 24h
Price over the last 7 days, in %
12%9%6%

All outcomes (4)

OutcomeChance24h
$80M
10%▲ 2.5 pts
$200M
5%▲ 1.4 pts
$300M
5%—
$100M
5%▼ 2.8 pts

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Makina's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Makina doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price $80M as the most likely outcome at 10% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.