Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 04:12 UTCCloses 8 Nov 2028 (in 24 mo)
Most likely: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 49% | — |
J.D. Vance | 31% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
Marco Rubio | 18% | ▼ 1.6 pts |
Ron DeSantis | 16% | ▲ 1.1 pts |
Tucker Carlson | 4% | — |
John McEntee | 4% | — |
Thomas Massie | 3% | ▲ 0.6 pts |
Ted Cruz | 3% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the most likely outcome at 49% (as of 11 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 8 Nov 2028. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.