When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 10:42 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: by December 31, 2027
All outcomes (5)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
by December 31, 2027 | 36% | ▲ 15.5 pts |
by September 30, 2027 | 18% | ▲ 0.5 pts |
by June 30, 2027 | 13% | — |
by March 31, 2027 | 7% | ▲ 2.5 pts |
by December 31, 2026 | 3% | ▲ 0.1 pts |
How this market resolves
When will Bitcoin hit $150k
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “When will Bitcoin hit $150k”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price by December 31, 2027 as the most likely outcome at 36% (as of 19 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.