United States Grand Prix Main Race: Fastest Lap
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 05:02 UTCCloses 2 Nov 2026 (in 8 days)
Most likely: Max Verstappen
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Max Verstappen | 40% | — |
Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 37% | ▲ 16.0 pts |
Charles Leclerc | 14% | ▼ 5.0 pts |
Isack Hadjar | 10% | ▲ 9.0 pts |
Lewis Hamilton | 9% | ▼ 5.0 pts |
Pierre Gasly | 4% | ▲ 3.0 pts |
George Russell | 2% | ▼ 7.0 pts |
Valtteri Bottas | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If Max Verstappen records the fastest valid lap time in the main race originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at the 2026 United States Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “United States Grand Prix Main Race: Fastest Lap”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Max Verstappen as the most likely outcome at 40% (as of 25 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 2 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.