Rain in NYC in Nov 2026?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 09:11 UTCCloses 1 Dec 2026 (in 19 days)
Most likely: Above 1 inches
All outcomes (7)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 1 inches | 99% | — |
Above 2 inches | 95% | ▲ 3.0 pts |
Above 3 inches | 54% | ▼ 14.0 pts |
Above 4 inches | 24% | — |
Above 5 inches | 14% | — |
Above 7 inches | 11% | ▲ 7.0 pts |
Above 6 inches | 9% | — |
How this market resolves
If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Nov 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Rain in NYC in Nov 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 1 inches as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 12 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.