Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 05:02 UTCCloses 1 Nov 2026 (in 7 days)
Most likely: Above 2 inches
All outcomes (7)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 2 inches | 9% | ▲ 6.0 pts |
Above 1 inch | 7% | ▼ 12.0 pts |
Above 3 inches | 3% | ▼ 6.0 pts |
Above 4 inches | 2% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Above 5 inches | 1% | ▼ 4.0 pts |
Above 6 inches | 1% | — |
Above 7 inches | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If the total precipitation at CLISFO in San Francisco in Oct 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 2 inches as the most likely outcome at 9% (as of 25 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.