Polymarket

Elon Bull Run Combo

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 09:10 UTCCloses 2 Jan 2027 (in 51 days)

Chance of “Yes”

2%▲ 0.1 pts in 24h

Price over the last 7 days, in %

Outcomes

Outcome	Chance	24h
Yes	2%	▲ 0.1 pts
No	98%	—

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Elon Musk trillionaire - Another Elon baby - 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Elon Bull Run Combo”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price “Yes” at 2% (as of 12 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 2 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.