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Polymarket

Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 05:01 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)

Chance of “Yes”

18%▲ 3.5 pts in 24h
Price over the last 7 days, in %
23%19%14%

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24h
Yes
18%▲ 3.5 pts
No
82%—

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price “Yes” at 18% (as of 25 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.