CPI in October
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 03:18 UTCClosed 10 Nov 2026
Most likely: Above -0.1%
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above -0.1% | 99% | — |
Above 0.0% | 99% | — |
Above 0.1% | 96% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Above 0.2% | 53% | ▲ 3.0 pts |
Above 0.3% | 9% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Above 0.4% | 2% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Above 0.5% | 1% | — |
Above 0.6% | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “CPI in October”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above -0.1% as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 11 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 10 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Latest economy news
- Consumer prices rose 0.4% in October, more than expected, complicating Fed's inflation fight10 Nov 2026· CNBC Economy
- Polymarket puts December Fed hike odds at 85% after hot CPI10 Nov 2026· Crypto News
- China’s monthly imports grow at fastest pace in five years as surplus crosses $1 trillion in 202610 Nov 2026· CNBC Economy
- 3 unexpected reasons the October jobs report was so strong10 Nov 2026· CNBC Economy
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.