2028 Republican presidential nominee
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 18:32 UTCCloses 7 Nov 2028 (in 24 mo)
Most likely: J.D. Vance
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
J.D. Vance | 33% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
Marco Rubio | 21% | ▼ 2.0 pts |
Ron DeSantis | 18% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Tucker Carlson | 4% | ▲ 0.5 pts |
John McEntee | 4% | ▲ 3.8 pts |
Thomas Massie | 3% | ▲ 0.4 pts |
Glenn Youngkin | 3% | — |
Brian Kemp | 2% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
How this market resolves
If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “2028 Republican presidential nominee”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price J.D. Vance as the most likely outcome at 33% (as of 7 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 7 Nov 2028. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Latest elections news
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.