SMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on December 17, 2026
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 19:48 UTCCloses 17 Dec 2026 (in 39 days)
Most likely: Above $1,750/MTU
All outcomes (5)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above $1,750/MTU | 99% | — |
Above $2,000/MTU | 99% | — |
Above $1,000/MTU | 97% | — |
Above $1,500/MTU | 97% | — |
Above $2,250/MTU | 79% | — |
How this market resolves
If the published assessment average price of CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 8:00 AM ET on Dec 17, 2026 is above $1,750/MTU, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “SMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on December 17, 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above $1,750/MTU as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 7 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 17 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.