Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 16:12 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: Above $6.2 trillion
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above $6.2 trillion | 99% | — |
Above $6.3 trillion | 99% | — |
Above $6.4 trillion | 99% | — |
Above $6.6 trillion | 89% | — |
Above $6.7 trillion | 85% | — |
Above $6.5 trillion | 84% | — |
Above $6.8 trillion | 47% | ▲ 3.0 pts |
Above $6.9 trillion | 24% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If the value of Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level (WALCL) for Dec 30, 2026 is above $6.2 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above $6.2 trillion as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 20 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.