Poland rate decision in December
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 04:59 UTCCloses 2 Dec 2026 (in 21 days)
Most likely: Maintain current rate
All outcomes (5)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Maintain current rate | 83% | ▲ 11.0 pts |
Hike 1-25bps | 25% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
Cut 1-25bps | 3% | — |
Hike more than 25bps | 2% | — |
Cut more than 25bps | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If the Narodowy Bank Polski takes the action of maintain current rate at its December Monetary Policy Council meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Poland rate decision in December”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Maintain current rate as the most likely outcome at 83% (as of 11 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 2 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.