Turkey rate decision in December
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 03:21 UTCCloses 10 Dec 2026 (in 48 days)
Most likely: Cut 1-250bps
All outcomes (5)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Cut 1-250bps | 71% | ▼ 7.0 pts |
Maintain current rate | 18% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Cut more than 250bps | 3% | — |
Hike 1-250bps | 2% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
Hike more than 250bps | 2% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye takes the action of cut 1-250bps at its December Monetary Policy Committee Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Turkey rate decision in December”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Cut 1-250bps as the most likely outcome at 71% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 10 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.