Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 05:02 UTCCloses 29 Oct 2026 (in 4 days)
Most likely: At least 1680K
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
At least 1680K | 93% | — |
At least 1690K | 88% | — |
At least 1770K | 87% | — |
At least 1760K | 85% | — |
At least 1670K | 82% | — |
At least 1700K | 62% | ▲ 42.0 pts |
At least 1730K | 49% | — |
At least 1720K | 47% | — |
How this market resolves
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026 is at least 1680K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price At least 1680K as the most likely outcome at 93% (as of 25 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 29 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More economy markets
- KalshiUS gas prices this week99%Above 4.1000
- KalshiFed decision in Oct 2026?93%Fed maintains rate
- KalshiGas prices in the US in Oct 2026?99%Above 2.50
- PolymarketAnthropic IPO by __?79%December 31, 2026
- PolymarketHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?96%0 (0 bps)
- KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?87%Before Feb 1, 2027
Latest economy news
- Kalshi Takes on Wall Street’s $7.6 Trillion Inflation Futures Curse23 Oct 2026
- Kalshi pitches a futures market tied to inflation - report (KALSHI:Private)23 Oct 2026
- Kalshi wants its new contracts to be a way to predict where markets are heading without buying stocks23 Oct 2026
- Jobless claims near the lowest since the 1960s as low-fire trend continues22 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.