Kalshi

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

Q: What are the odds for “Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price 0 cuts as the most likely outcome at 96% (as of 20 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

Q: What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

Q: When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Q: Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 16:12 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)

Most likely: 0 cuts

96%▲ 0.3 pts in 24h

Price over the last 7 days, in %

All outcomes (5)

Outcome	Chance	24h
0 cuts	96%	▲ 0.3 pts
2 cuts	2%	▲ 1.4 pts
3 cuts	1%	▲ 0.3 pts
4 cuts	<1%	▼ 0.1 pts
1 cut	<1%	—

How this market resolves

If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 0 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price 0 cuts as the most likely outcome at 96% (as of 20 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.