Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 19:36 UTCCloses 20 Jan 2029 (in 27 mo)
Chance of “Yes”
Outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Yes | 73% | — |
No | 27% | — |
How this market resolves
If the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill impeaching the President of the United States after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will President Trump be impeached during his term”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price “Yes” at 73% (as of 7 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 20 Jan 2029. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.