How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2026?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 21:58 UTCCloses 9 Sept 2026 (closing)
Most likely: Above 6.7%
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 6.7% | 99% | — |
Above 6.8% | 99% | — |
Above 7.0% | 99% | — |
Above 7.1% | 99% | — |
Above 7.2% | 99% | — |
Above 7.3% | 99% | — |
Above 6.9% | 98% | — |
Above 7.4% | 86% | — |
How this market resolves
If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.7% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 6.7% as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 22 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 9 Sept 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.