US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 03:21 UTCCloses 26 Oct 2026 (in 4 days)
Most likely: Above $925 billion
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above $925 billion | 97% | ▲ 12.0 pts |
Above $850 billion | 93% | — |
Above $875 billion | 88% | ▼ 2.0 pts |
Above $900 billion | 88% | ▲ 11.0 pts |
Above $950 billion | 67% | ▼ 6.0 pts |
Above $975 billion | 44% | ▲ 3.0 pts |
Above $1,000 billion | 25% | — |
Above $1,050 billion | 22% | — |
How this market resolves
If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 is above $925 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above $925 billion as the most likely outcome at 97% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 26 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.