Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 19:34 UTCCloses 20 Jan 2029 (in 27 mo)
Most likely: Before his term ends
All outcomes (3)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Before his term ends | 22% | ▼ 2.0 pts |
Before Jan 1, 2028 | 17% | — |
Before Jul 1, 2027 | 12% | — |
How this market resolves
If the President of the United States has been impeached and convicted by the U.S. Senate before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Trump be impeached and removed from office”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Before his term ends as the most likely outcome at 22% (as of 7 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 20 Jan 2029. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Latest elections news
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.