Austin Bashi vs Carlos Calderon: Method of Victory
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 19:48 UTCCloses 22 Nov 2026 (in 14 days)
Most likely: Austin Bashi by Submission
All outcomes (7)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Austin Bashi by Submission | 50% | — |
Austin Bashi by Decision | 20% | — |
Austin Bashi by KO/TKO/DQ | 15% | — |
Carlos Calderon by Decision | 8% | — |
Carlos Calderon by KO/TKO/DQ | 5% | — |
Carlos Calderon by Submission | 5% | — |
Draw/No Contest | 2% | — |
How this market resolves
If Austin Bashi wins by Submission during the Austin Bashi vs Carlos Calderon UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Austin Bashi vs Carlos Calderon: Method of Victory”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Austin Bashi by Submission as the most likely outcome at 50% (as of 7 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 22 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.