US corn yield in the January 2027 USDA report
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 23:03 UTCCloses 12 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: Below 181.2 bu/acre
All outcomes (3)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Below 181.2 bu/acre | 59% | — |
Above 181.2 bu/acre | 51% | ▲ 8.0 pts |
Exactly 181.2 bu/acre | 7% | — |
How this market resolves
If U.S. corn yield per harvested acre for the 2026/27 marketing year is below 181.2 bu/acre, as reported in the January 2027 USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “US corn yield in the January 2027 USDA report”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Below 181.2 bu/acre as the most likely outcome at 59% (as of 12 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 12 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.