Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 21:58 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
All outcomes (5)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | 8% | ▲ 1.2 pts |
Sam Altman - OpenAI | 5% | ▲ 0.5 pts |
Andy Jassy - Amazon | 5% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
Sundar Pichai - Google | 5% | ▲ 0.3 pts |
Dan Clancy - Twitch | 3% | — |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Which CEOs will be out before 2027”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Brian Armstrong - Coinbase as the most likely outcome at 8% (as of 22 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.