
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 23:03 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 50 days)
Chance of “Yes”
Outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Yes | 3% | — |
No | 97% | — |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Chipotle Mexican Grill will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Starbucks by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Starbucks or Chipotle Mexican Grill will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A "controlling interest" refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Starbucks or Chipotle Mexican Grill, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price “Yes” at 3% (as of 12 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.