Claude App Downloads in November 2026
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 19:48 UTCCloses 8 Dec 2026 (in 30 days)
Most likely: Above 1072
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 1072 | 99% | — |
Above 1530 | 99% | — |
Above 1813 | 74% | ▼ 3.0 pts |
Above 2110.5 | 52% | — |
Above 2445.5 | 21% | — |
Above 2847.5 | 17% | — |
Above 4815 | 5% | — |
Above 3373.5 | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 1072 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Claude App Downloads in November 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 1072 as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 7 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 8 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.