ChatGPT App downloads in November 2026
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 19:48 UTCCloses 8 Dec 2026 (in 30 days)
Most likely: Above 68.5
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 68.5 | 97% | — |
Above 54.5 | 96% | — |
Above 65 | 88% | — |
Above 61.5 | 87% | — |
Above 72 | 77% | — |
Above 76 | 68% | — |
Above 80 | 59% | — |
Above 90.5 | 20% | — |
How this market resolves
If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 68.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “ChatGPT App downloads in November 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 68.5 as the most likely outcome at 97% (as of 7 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 8 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.