Where will it rain on Nov 8, 2026?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 22:13 UTCCloses 9 Nov 2026 (in 8 h)
Most likely: Austin
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Austin | 99% | ▲ 3.0 pts |
Seattle | 99% | ▲ 5.0 pts |
Boston | 99% | ▲ 7.0 pts |
San Antonio | 99% | ▲ 2.0 pts |
Providence | 99% | ▲ 46.0 pts |
College Station | 99% | ▲ 10.0 pts |
Houston | 24% | ▼ 42.0 pts |
Miami | 13% | ▼ 11.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If the total precipitation at CLIAUS in Austin in Nov 8, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Where will it rain on Nov 8, 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Austin as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 9 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 9 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More climate & weather markets
- KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Nov 8, 2026?64%87° to 88°
- KalshiWhere will it rain this weekend (Nov 7 - Nov 8)?99%Austin
- KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Nov 8, 2026?75%60° or below
- KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Nov 8, 2026?89%85° to 86°
- KalshiWhat named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?7%Wilfred
- KalshiHighest temperature in Austin on Nov 8, 2026?50%64° to 65°
Latest climate & weather news
- Nicola Jennings on Cop31 in Turkey – cartoon8 Nov 2026· The Guardian · Climate crisis
- Cop31 must deliver climate progress that people can see is real, host says8 Nov 2026· The Guardian · Climate crisis
- Cop31: what is at stake at the UN climate summit and what can it achieve?8 Nov 2026· The Guardian · Climate crisis
- Who’s who at Cop31: key players at the climate talks8 Nov 2026· The Guardian · Climate crisis
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.