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Kalshi

Rain in Houston in Nov 2026?

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 00:37 UTCCloses 1 Dec 2026 (in 22 days)

Most likely: Above 1 inch

95%
Price over the last 7 days, in %
95%90%85%

All outcomes (7)

OutcomeChance24h
Above 1 inch
95%—
Above 2 inches
67%▼ 1.0 pts
Above 3 inches
44%—
Above 4 inches
25%—
Above 6 inches
20%—
Above 5 inches
19%▲ 7.0 pts
Above 7 inches
6%—

How this market resolves

If the total precipitation at CLIHOU in Houston in Nov 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Rain in Houston in Nov 2026”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 1 inch as the most likely outcome at 95% (as of 9 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

More climate & weather markets

Latest climate & weather news

Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.