Will GBP/USD hit __ in 2026?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 00:36 UTCCloses 31 Dec 2026 (in 52 days)
Most likely: ↓1.30
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
↓1.30 | 45% | ▼ 14.0 pts |
↑1.40 | 41% | ▲ 0.5 pts |
↓1.25 | 32% | ▼ 2.0 pts |
↓1.20 | 24% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
↑1.55 | 15% | ▲ 0.5 pts |
↑1.45 | 14% | ▲ 0.5 pts |
↓1.10 | 14% | — |
↑1.50 | 14% | ▲ 0.5 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will GBP/USD hit __ in 2026”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price ↓1.30 as the most likely outcome at 45% (as of 9 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 31 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.